006 | 迈克・约翰逊都能当议长了，他行吗？ The Ascension of Mike Johnson

美轮美换 The American Roulette

【聊了什么】

共和党选出了新议长：迈克・约翰逊。迈克・约翰逊是谁？他为什么能当上议长？他当议长面临什么样的挑战？他会怎样面对？这期播客我们从选议长一路讨论到了怎么当议长。

【会员计划】

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众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[e-mail]

【时间轴】

01:05 回顾第一轮推选议长的过程（兼对上上次播客里的预测的回顾）

03:08 乔丹是怎么输的

08:26 第二轮选举，约翰逊怎么赢的

11:11 约翰逊的资历和他胜选和关系

18:11 约翰逊曾担任主席的学习委员会是怎么回事

23:22 当议长需要什么技能和人脉

28:23 临时拨款协议对约翰逊的挑战

30:49 约翰逊如何解决党内关于堕胎的矛盾

40:43 约翰逊会如何解决两党关于军援/边境安全的拨款问题

44:58 麦康奈尔、拜登、和共和党保守派在外交问题上的矛盾

49:00 议长最重要的权力：议程设置

50:54 约翰逊的蜜月期会有多长

52:18 约翰逊的个人形像对共和党的选情有多重要

55:50 特朗普为什么可以频频踩福音派的红线还不受惩罚

01:00:34 接下来两周的看点

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

寄馀生：比较政治爱好者

本期节目由Talich制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是Talich。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

If the ascension of Mike Johnson to the office of speaker of the House proves one thing, it’s that “keeping a low profile and biding your time” actually works. So who is Mike Johnson? What challenges does he face as the new speaker? How would he go about it? In this episode, we talk about the ins and outs of what it takes to become speaker of the House.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [e-mail]

【Timeline】 01:05 Overview of what happened in the previous rounds of selection (and to see how right or wrong our predictions in the previous episode turned out to be)

03:08 How Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan lost

08:26 How did Johnson win the second round of the election?

11:11 Johnson’s credentials, his electoral success and connections

18:11 What happened to the Republican Study Committee Johnson once chaired?

23:22 What skills and connections are needed to be the speaker?

28:23 One of Johnson’s first tests as speaker: Continuing Resolution(CR)

30:49 How will Johnson resolve the conflict within the Republican party over abortion policy?

40:43 How would Johnson resolve the bipartisan funding issue for military aid/border security?

44:58 Conflicts between McConnell, Biden, and Republican conservatives on foreign affairs issues

49:00 The speaker’s most important power: agenda setting

50:54 How long will Johnson’s “honeymoon phase” be?

52:18 How important is Johnson’s personal branding to GOP’s upcoming elections?

55:50 Why Trump can repeatedly cross Evangelical’s red lines with impunity

01:00:34 What to watch for in the next two weeks

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast

This episode is produced by Talich, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Talich. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

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