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Tamay Besiroglu on AI in 2030: Scaling, Automation, and AI Agents

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Manage episode 444689053 series 1334308
内容由Gus Docker and Future of Life Institute提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Gus Docker and Future of Life Institute 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

Tamay Besiroglu joins the podcast to discuss scaling, AI capabilities in 2030, breakthroughs in AI agents and planning, automating work, the uncertainties of investing in AI, and scaling laws for inference-time compute. Here's the report we discuss in the episode:

https://epochai.org/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030

Timestamps:

00:00 How important is scaling?

08:03 How capable will AIs be in 2030?

18:33 AI agents, reasoning, and planning

23:39 Automating coding and mathematics

31:26 Uncertainty about investing in AI

40:34 Gap between investment and returns

45:30 Compute, software and data

51:54 Inference-time compute

01:08:49 Returns to software R&D

01:19:22 Limits to expanding compute

  continue reading

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Artwork
icon分享
 
Manage episode 444689053 series 1334308
内容由Gus Docker and Future of Life Institute提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Gus Docker and Future of Life Institute 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

Tamay Besiroglu joins the podcast to discuss scaling, AI capabilities in 2030, breakthroughs in AI agents and planning, automating work, the uncertainties of investing in AI, and scaling laws for inference-time compute. Here's the report we discuss in the episode:

https://epochai.org/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030

Timestamps:

00:00 How important is scaling?

08:03 How capable will AIs be in 2030?

18:33 AI agents, reasoning, and planning

23:39 Automating coding and mathematics

31:26 Uncertainty about investing in AI

40:34 Gap between investment and returns

45:30 Compute, software and data

51:54 Inference-time compute

01:08:49 Returns to software R&D

01:19:22 Limits to expanding compute

  continue reading

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