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Bear Market Rally vs New Bull Market with Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research
Manage episode 362050753 series 3373282
In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:
Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed
- Earnings Still Falling
- Yield Curve Still Inverted
- Fed Still Hiking
- Lack of Market Breadth
Why Pies Remains Long Oil
- Inventory Draws Are Improving
- OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
- China Demand Picking Up
- US Recession Won’t Be Drastic
Will The Fed Pause?
- Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
- 5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
- What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
- If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder
3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research
Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com
Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle
88集单集
Manage episode 362050753 series 3373282
In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:
Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed
- Earnings Still Falling
- Yield Curve Still Inverted
- Fed Still Hiking
- Lack of Market Breadth
Why Pies Remains Long Oil
- Inventory Draws Are Improving
- OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
- China Demand Picking Up
- US Recession Won’t Be Drastic
Will The Fed Pause?
- Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
- 5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
- What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
- If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder
3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research
Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com
Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle
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