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Trading Risks Hidden in Probability

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Manage episode 445428388 series 1037277
内容由Locke In Your Success and John Locke提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Locke In Your Success and John Locke 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal
In this video, John dives deep into the often misunderstood world of trading probabilities and backtesting. He begins by breaking down the difference between theoretical/statistical probability and contextual/situational probability, focusing on what most traders rely on: theoretical probability. John explains how traders use tools like option delta to estimate probabilities and why these estimates might not always be as reliable as they seem. Join Us! - https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/memberships/ 00:00 - Trading Probability 00:48 – Theoretical / Statistical Probability 01:53 – Option Delta Probability 04:07 – Falsehood – Not True! 05:30 – Backtesting Probability 08:19 – Have This Awareness 10:25 – Decision Points 13:53 – Join us! Join our Market Outlook Membership! https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/market-outlook-membership/ John Locke has been working with options for 20+ years and has built himself up as a leader in the stock options trading industry. Having trained now hundreds of traders, his natural ability to teach complex topics with clarity and passion has made him invaluable to the trading community. #Trading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies #Investment #StockMarket *The result shown is from real-time, hypothetical trades such as those shown in the Options Trading for Income weekly webinar or Trading With The PROS biweekly webinars. Simulated trades are believed to be represented as accurately as possible, however, live results may have been different. The result is shared as an example for educational purposes ONLY.
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Manage episode 445428388 series 1037277
内容由Locke In Your Success and John Locke提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Locke In Your Success and John Locke 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal
In this video, John dives deep into the often misunderstood world of trading probabilities and backtesting. He begins by breaking down the difference between theoretical/statistical probability and contextual/situational probability, focusing on what most traders rely on: theoretical probability. John explains how traders use tools like option delta to estimate probabilities and why these estimates might not always be as reliable as they seem. Join Us! - https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/memberships/ 00:00 - Trading Probability 00:48 – Theoretical / Statistical Probability 01:53 – Option Delta Probability 04:07 – Falsehood – Not True! 05:30 – Backtesting Probability 08:19 – Have This Awareness 10:25 – Decision Points 13:53 – Join us! Join our Market Outlook Membership! https://www.lockeinyoursuccess.com/market-outlook-membership/ John Locke has been working with options for 20+ years and has built himself up as a leader in the stock options trading industry. Having trained now hundreds of traders, his natural ability to teach complex topics with clarity and passion has made him invaluable to the trading community. #Trading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies #Investment #StockMarket *The result shown is from real-time, hypothetical trades such as those shown in the Options Trading for Income weekly webinar or Trading With The PROS biweekly webinars. Simulated trades are believed to be represented as accurately as possible, however, live results may have been different. The result is shared as an example for educational purposes ONLY.
  continue reading

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