040 | 美国参众两院选举结果分析 Breaking Down the U.S. Congressional Election Results

美轮美换 The American Roulette

【聊了什么 The What】

特朗普虽横扫七大摇摆州，共和党拿下两院的控制权，但共和党在众议院国会层面的优势远不及预期。在本期节目中，我们深入分析了这场选举中各方势力的消长：从加州缓慢的计票过程引发的制度争议，到约翰逊议长面临的党内挑战：从拉丁裔选民的投票取向之谜，到民主党在州级选举中的表现。

面对微弱的众议院优势和复杂的参议院政治生态，共和党能否顺利推进特朗普的政策议程？各州最高法院选举和地方政治格局的变化,又将如何影响未来的政治版图？

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【时间轴 The When】

00:22 概述2024年两院选举结果

01:24 为什么加州等地计票速度如此缓慢？

10:35 总统选举结果和参众两院结果的差异

21:30 特朗普内阁提名对国会席位的影响

23:45 约翰逊议长的前景及新众议院规则

31:37 新的共和党周期开始了吗？

42:07 探讨卢比奥离任后，德桑蒂斯对佛罗里达参议员任命的选择

46:15 参议院选情及共和党的结构性优势

53:19 参议院共和党和特朗普之间的关系

1:10:40 地方和州一级选举结果及其影响

01:21:40 即将到来的补选和2025年州长选举

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者

寄馀生：比较政治爱好者

【 What We Talked About】

Despite Trump's sweep of all seven swing states and Republican control of both chambers, their margin in the House proved far narrower than expected. In this episode, we delve into the shifting dynamics of this election: from controversies surrounding California's prolonged vote counting to Speaker Johnson's challenges within his party; from the enigma of Latino voting patterns to Democratic performance in state elections.

With a precarious House majority and a complex Senate landscape ahead, can Republicans effectively advance Trump's policy agenda? How will state Supreme Court elections and evolving local political dynamics reshape America's political terrain?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [e-mail]

【Timeline】

00:22 Overview of the 2024 Congressional election results

15:10 Why is vote counting so slow in California and other states?

35:25 Gap between presidential election results and Congressional outcomes

40:40 Impact of Trump's cabinet nominations on Congressional seats

45:50 Speaker Johnson's prospects and new House rules

52:30 Has a new Republican cycle begun?

1:03:50 DeSantis's options for Florida Senate appointment after Rubio's departure

1:08:45 Senate landscape and Republican structural advantages

1:14:20 Relationship between Senate Republicans and Trump

1:30:40 State and local election results and their implications

1:41:40 Upcoming special elections and 2025 gubernatorial races

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests:

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history

寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast

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