Kamala Harris shakes up the race

Mid-Atlantic - conversations about US, UK and world politics

In a seismic shift in American politics, Vice President Kamala Harris is now the presumptive Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential election, following President Joe Biden's withdrawal. This unexpected turn of events has ignited both enthusiasm and apprehension among Democrats and political pundits alike.

On today's episode of "Mid Atlantic," Roifield Brown navigates this political earthquake with an esteemed panel: Dave Smith from London, Logan Phillips from Washington DC, Zee Cohen Sanchez from Nevada, Mike Donaghue from Los Angeles, Corey Bernard from Manchester, and Denise Hamilton from Jamaica. The discussion spans Harris's impact on the Democratic campaign, her polling status, and strategic shifts needed by both parties.

Polling Shifts and Historical Parallels Logan Phillips kicks off the conversation by analyzing polling data, noting that while Biden was trailing Trump by about two points, Harris's numbers mirror Biden's but lack historical reliability. Drawing a parallel to Hubert Humphrey's late surge in 1968, Phillips suggests the true impact of Harris's candidacy will become clearer in the coming weeks.

Enthusiasm Among Key Demographics Denise Hamilton highlights Harris's traction among younger voters, people of color, and women. Hamilton, who was on a historic Zoom call with 40,000 women, shares the palpable excitement and organizational power rallying behind Harris. She emphasizes Harris's qualifications and the need for experienced leadership over personality-driven politics.

Potential Republican Strategies Corey Bernard and others discuss the likely Republican pivot to focus on Harris's perceived weaknesses and a more aggressive campaign strategy, emphasizing issues like abortion and crime. However, the panel agrees that such attacks may backfire, especially given Harris's diverse support base and the fresh energy she brings compared to Biden.

Foreign Policy and Progressive Stance Dave Smith and Zee Cohen Sanchez weigh in on Harris's foreign policy moves, such as skipping Netanyahu's address, which could appeal to younger, more progressive voters. They debate the balance Harris must strike between continuity and presenting a rejuvenated Democratic vision.

Vice Presidential Choices The conversation rounds out with speculation on Harris's potential VP picks, with Mark Kelly and Josh Shapiro being top contenders. Both bring swing state appeal, but Shapiro's potential to avoid a Senate seat loss for Democrats makes him a particularly strategic choice.

Quotes from the Episode:

1. "Harris's polling mirrors Biden's, but we need to see where this race actually is in three weeks." – Logan Phillips
2. "We have done the impossible and the incredible time and time again." – Denise Hamilton
3. "The Democratic Party has made a stance, right? They need Jewish donors." – Zee Cohen Sanchez
4. "I think they'll go heavy on portraying her as an uber-liberal, but it's a strategy that could easily backfire." – Corey Bernard
5. "Skipping Netanyahu's address was the right move politically and morally." – Logan Phillips

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