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#219 Decoding Climate Change: A Pragmatic Approach with Tom Knutson

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Manage episode 447359926 series 3099392
内容由Christopher Balkaran提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Christopher Balkaran 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

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In this episode, I am joined by climate expert Tom Knutson to explore the nuanced science of climate change, focusing on Atlantic hurricane patterns, extreme rainfall, and the complexities of climate modelling. Tom sheds light on the challenges in attributing natural disasters to human influence, emphasizing the importance of understanding multi-decadal variability, regional factors, and the limitations of current data.
We discuss how these intricacies are often overlooked in mainstream narratives and why a pragmatic approach to climate science is essential for informed public discourse.
Research cited:
1.IPCC AR5 and AR6 Reports

•IPCC’s reports provide global assessments on climate change. AR5 and AR6 discuss confidence levels in attributing tropical cyclone activity and rainfall to human influence.

IPCC AR5 Full Report

IPCC AR6 Full Report

2.Multi-Decadal Variability in the Atlantic

•Studies explore Atlantic multi-decadal variability, cycles in hurricane activity, and how these may be driven by aerosol levels or changes in ocean circulation.

NOAA on Atlantic Multi-Decadal Variability

3.Hurricane Harvey Case Study (2017)

•Hurricane Harvey’s record-breaking rainfall is often cited in studies examining how atmospheric warming affects water vapor and extreme precipitation rates.

NOAA’s Summary on Hurricane Harvey

4.Study by Jim Kossin on Slowing Propagation Speeds of Tropical Cyclones

•Jim Kossin’s research found that the movement speed of tropical cyclones slowed significantly over land, affecting rainfall accumulation.

Kossin’s Study in Nature

6.Increased Water Vapor and Hurricane Rainfall Rates

•Studies show that higher atmospheric water vapor, linked to warming, increases rainfall rates in hurricanes, with simulations suggesting a 7% rise per degree Celsius.

NASA on Climate Change and Water Vapor

Support the show

Visit my NEW Website! https://www.christopherbalkaran.com
Check out my Instagram/Tik Tok for daily posts:
Instagram @openmindspod
Tiktok @openmindspodcast

  continue reading

222集单集

Artwork
icon分享
 
Manage episode 447359926 series 3099392
内容由Christopher Balkaran提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Christopher Balkaran 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

Send us a text

In this episode, I am joined by climate expert Tom Knutson to explore the nuanced science of climate change, focusing on Atlantic hurricane patterns, extreme rainfall, and the complexities of climate modelling. Tom sheds light on the challenges in attributing natural disasters to human influence, emphasizing the importance of understanding multi-decadal variability, regional factors, and the limitations of current data.
We discuss how these intricacies are often overlooked in mainstream narratives and why a pragmatic approach to climate science is essential for informed public discourse.
Research cited:
1.IPCC AR5 and AR6 Reports

•IPCC’s reports provide global assessments on climate change. AR5 and AR6 discuss confidence levels in attributing tropical cyclone activity and rainfall to human influence.

IPCC AR5 Full Report

IPCC AR6 Full Report

2.Multi-Decadal Variability in the Atlantic

•Studies explore Atlantic multi-decadal variability, cycles in hurricane activity, and how these may be driven by aerosol levels or changes in ocean circulation.

NOAA on Atlantic Multi-Decadal Variability

3.Hurricane Harvey Case Study (2017)

•Hurricane Harvey’s record-breaking rainfall is often cited in studies examining how atmospheric warming affects water vapor and extreme precipitation rates.

NOAA’s Summary on Hurricane Harvey

4.Study by Jim Kossin on Slowing Propagation Speeds of Tropical Cyclones

•Jim Kossin’s research found that the movement speed of tropical cyclones slowed significantly over land, affecting rainfall accumulation.

Kossin’s Study in Nature

6.Increased Water Vapor and Hurricane Rainfall Rates

•Studies show that higher atmospheric water vapor, linked to warming, increases rainfall rates in hurricanes, with simulations suggesting a 7% rise per degree Celsius.

NASA on Climate Change and Water Vapor

Support the show

Visit my NEW Website! https://www.christopherbalkaran.com
Check out my Instagram/Tik Tok for daily posts:
Instagram @openmindspod
Tiktok @openmindspodcast

  continue reading

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