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385: AI Snake Oil

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Manage episode 441427012 series 2533159
内容由TechFreedom提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 TechFreedom 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference.

Topics include:

  • What’s a prediction, really?
  • p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’s
  • Freakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is)
  • AI can’t predict the impact of AI
  • Gaming AI with invisible ink
  • Life is luck—let’s act like it
  • Superintelligence (us, that is)
  • The bitter lesson
  • AI danger: sweat the small stuff

Links:

AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference

AI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy

AI Snake Oil (Substack)

  continue reading

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385: AI Snake Oil

Tech Policy Podcast

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Manage episode 441427012 series 2533159
内容由TechFreedom提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 TechFreedom 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference.

Topics include:

  • What’s a prediction, really?
  • p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’s
  • Freakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is)
  • AI can’t predict the impact of AI
  • Gaming AI with invisible ink
  • Life is luck—let’s act like it
  • Superintelligence (us, that is)
  • The bitter lesson
  • AI danger: sweat the small stuff

Links:

AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference

AI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy

AI Snake Oil (Substack)

  continue reading

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