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Problems with Nate Silver's Model
Manage episode 461708463 series 3366290
内容由Alex Keeney提供。所有播客内容（包括剧集、图形和播客描述）均由 Alex Keeney 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品，您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal。
Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model.
Timestamps
1:49: Intro ends
3:55: Interview begins
4:08: Crane's bio
8:50: Nate Silver
10:42: Critique of Silver's model
12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets
23:57: Silver as tout
25:04: Silver's model
27:48: Simulations in Silver's model
30:51: 50-50 election forecasts
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X @ssgamblers
Bet on elections at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.
Attend our forecasting and prediction markets meetup in Washington DC on 23 January 2025. RSVP here: https://partiful.com/e/tgYHaoevQ78X7hpnDUHA
265集单集
分享
Manage episode 461708463 series 3366290
内容由Alex Keeney提供。所有播客内容（包括剧集、图形和播客描述）均由 Alex Keeney 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品，您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal。
Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model.
Timestamps
1:49: Intro ends
3:55: Interview begins
4:08: Crane's bio
8:50: Nate Silver
10:42: Critique of Silver's model
12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets
23:57: Silver as tout
25:04: Silver's model
27:48: Simulations in Silver's model
30:51: 50-50 election forecasts
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X @ssgamblers
Bet on elections at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.
Attend our forecasting and prediction markets meetup in Washington DC on 23 January 2025. RSVP here: https://partiful.com/e/tgYHaoevQ78X7hpnDUHA
265集单集
所有剧集
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类似 Star Spangled Gamblers 的节目
True crime investigations from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Veteran legal affairs journalist Bill Rankin takes you inside the courtroom to break down the story and the criminal justice system. This award-winning series investigates Georgia’s most important cases with fact-based reporting. Season 10 will focus on the historic indictment of former President Donald Trump in Fulton County, Georgia, led by District Attorney Fani Willis. Co-hosted by senior reporter Tamar Hallerman and editor ...
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continue reading
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continue reading
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continue reading
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continue reading
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…
continue reading
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continue reading
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