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#288: Market Update Nov 24 – Perth, Brisbane & Adelaide Slow, Listings Surge in Perth & Adelaide, Rate Cut Predictions & Productivity Woes
Manage episode 455796899 series 2905854
内容由Cate Bakos, David Johnston and Mike Mortlock, Cate Bakos, David Johnston, and Mike Mortlock提供。所有播客内容（包括剧集、图形和播客描述）均由 Cate Bakos, David Johnston and Mike Mortlock, Cate Bakos, David Johnston, and Mike Mortlock 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品，您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal。
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The Trio are back together in the studio! The Trio comment on some of the interesting indices for the state of the nation in the month of November.
Cate marvels at regional performance outstripping capital city performance. The big tier, top three cities are showing weaker growth and Melbourne has continued to show modest price falls.
Dave predicts that 2025 could be the story of Melbourne and Hobart. He shares his rationale... let's see how his prediction lands!
Mike points to the stratified price figures and notes that the lowest quartiles are outperforming, all but for ACT and Dave touches on the per capita recession we are all currently in. Canberra's public servant population defies this trend.
Rents are dipping, but they are all still in positive territory, as as Cate mentions, the rental growth is still outstripping CPI.
"Any other precedent would say that these are huge numbers, but they've come off the boil a long way," says Mike.
Rental increases now are normalised now though, and as Peter Koulizos has said before, rents had to play catch-up.
Rental yields have decreased substantially for many regional cities, and Cate considers some of the challenges and changes that have impacted quite a few regional markets since COVID lockdowns.
Sales and listing activity is a great insight into market supply. Cate doesn't expect listing figures to dramatically increase and she hints that pent up demand could show itself in early January in the larger markets. Could the start of 2025 be a bit different to recent past years? Tune in to find out.
Contrasting the listing figures from October to November tells an interesting story too. Hobart's decrease in listings when contrasted against this time last year is significant. What is happening in Hobart?
The Trio chat about the pressure on the RBA to control monetary policy, and they consider the key drivers and data points that our RBA are keeping a close watch on. From productivity to services inflation, unemployment to public sector job growth, (just to name a few) there are plenty of moving parts that remain a challenge.
The quarterly GDP figures are out for the month of September and the strongest segment leading the charge is Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing at 6.5%.
Lastly, the Trio share their thoughts on when the next rate movement could be!
Show Notes: https://www.propertytrio.com.au/2024/12/16/ep-288-nov-market-update/
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The Trio are back together in the studio! The Trio comment on some of the interesting indices for the state of the nation in the month of November.
Cate marvels at regional performance outstripping capital city performance. The big tier, top three cities are showing weaker growth and Melbourne has continued to show modest price falls.
Dave predicts that 2025 could be the story of Melbourne and Hobart. He shares his rationale... let's see how his prediction lands!
Mike points to the stratified price figures and notes that the lowest quartiles are outperforming, all but for ACT and Dave touches on the per capita recession we are all currently in. Canberra's public servant population defies this trend.
Rents are dipping, but they are all still in positive territory, as as Cate mentions, the rental growth is still outstripping CPI.
"Any other precedent would say that these are huge numbers, but they've come off the boil a long way," says Mike.
Rental increases now are normalised now though, and as Peter Koulizos has said before, rents had to play catch-up.
Rental yields have decreased substantially for many regional cities, and Cate considers some of the challenges and changes that have impacted quite a few regional markets since COVID lockdowns.
Sales and listing activity is a great insight into market supply. Cate doesn't expect listing figures to dramatically increase and she hints that pent up demand could show itself in early January in the larger markets. Could the start of 2025 be a bit different to recent past years? Tune in to find out.
Contrasting the listing figures from October to November tells an interesting story too. Hobart's decrease in listings when contrasted against this time last year is significant. What is happening in Hobart?
The Trio chat about the pressure on the RBA to control monetary policy, and they consider the key drivers and data points that our RBA are keeping a close watch on. From productivity to services inflation, unemployment to public sector job growth, (just to name a few) there are plenty of moving parts that remain a challenge.
The quarterly GDP figures are out for the month of September and the strongest segment leading the charge is Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing at 6.5%.
Lastly, the Trio share their thoughts on when the next rate movement could be!
Show Notes: https://www.propertytrio.com.au/2024/12/16/ep-288-nov-market-update/
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