Bitcoin’s Stock-To-Flow (S2F) 2022 Analysis + Price Prediction

WanderLearn: Travel to Transform Your Mind & Life

内容由Francis Tapon提供。所有播客内容（包括剧集、图形和播客描述）均由 Francis Tapon 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品，您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal。

2y ago 14:41

MP3•单集首页

Watch the May 2022 video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E3BWdciKZ7c

Once a year, I review Plan B's stock-to-flow model, which predicts Bitcoin's price. I first critiqued it on May 11, 2020, which was the day of the 3rd Bitcoin halving. Plan B blocked me because of it.

Last year, on May 11, 2021, I reflected on how well the price had been tracking the model, but I warned that we should not become overly exuberant. I predicted that we would drop below $40,000 in 2022, perhaps below $30,000, and maybe even below $20,000. It all seemed rather ludicrous given that BTC was at $55,000. Still, I insisted that on May 11, 2022, things would be far more "sober."

As I write this on May 9, 2022, Bitcoin is trading at $31,000. See my video (which was filmed on May 9, when BTC was around $35,000).

Timeline

00:00 Intro
00:52 May 2021 clip
02:07 Has Plan B Failed?
03:09 S2F range
03:40 Anthony Pompliano Plan B Interview
05:19 S2F $50k Model
06:15 Moving the goalposts
07:45 My BTC Predictions
08:25 BTC Chart analysis
10:00 Updated price prediction
10:47 Where I went wrong
12:20 Conclusion

More info

You can post comments, ask questions, and sign up for my newsletter at http://wanderlearn.com.

If you like this podcast, subscribe and share!

On social media, my username is always ftapon. Follow me on:

My Patrons sponsored this show!

Claim your monthly reward by becoming a patron at http://Patreon.com/FTapon

Rewards start at just $2/month!

DISCLAIMER

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

288集单集