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Tom Chivers - From Science to Daily Life: The Impact of Bayesian Thinking | STM Podcast #214

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内容由Alen Ulman, Leon Garber, Alen D. Ulman, and Leon Garber提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Alen Ulman, Leon Garber, Alen D. Ulman, and Leon Garber 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

On episode 214, we welcome Tom Chivers to discuss Bayesian statistics, how their counterintuitive nature tends to turn people off, the philosophical disagreements between the Bayesians and the frequentists, why “priors” aren’t purely subjective and why all theories should be considered as priors, the difficulty of quantifying emotional states in psychological research, how priors are used and misused to inform interpretations of new data, our innate tendency toward black and white thinking, the replication crisis, and why statistically significant research is often wrong.

Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor. His writing has appeared in The Times (London), The Guardian, New Scientist, Wired, CNN, and more. He is the co-host of The Studies Show podcast alongside Stuart Richie.His books include The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy, and How to Read Numbers. His newest book, available now, is called Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World.

| Tom Chivers |

► Website | https://tomchivers.com

► Twitter | https://x.com/TomChivers

► Semafor | https://www.semafor.com/author/tom-chivers

► Podcast | https://www.thestudiesshowpod.com

► Everything is Predictable Book | https://amzn.to/3UJTOxD

Where you can find us:

| Seize The Moment Podcast |

► Facebook | https://www.facebook.com/SeizeTheMoment

► Twitter | https://twitter.com/seize_podcast

► Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/seizethemoment

► TikTok | https://www.tiktok.com/@seizethemomentpodcast

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内容由Alen Ulman, Leon Garber, Alen D. Ulman, and Leon Garber提供。所有播客内容(包括剧集、图形和播客描述)均由 Alen Ulman, Leon Garber, Alen D. Ulman, and Leon Garber 或其播客平台合作伙伴直接上传和提供。如果您认为有人在未经您许可的情况下使用您的受版权保护的作品,您可以按照此处概述的流程进行操作https://zh.player.fm/legal

On episode 214, we welcome Tom Chivers to discuss Bayesian statistics, how their counterintuitive nature tends to turn people off, the philosophical disagreements between the Bayesians and the frequentists, why “priors” aren’t purely subjective and why all theories should be considered as priors, the difficulty of quantifying emotional states in psychological research, how priors are used and misused to inform interpretations of new data, our innate tendency toward black and white thinking, the replication crisis, and why statistically significant research is often wrong.

Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor. His writing has appeared in The Times (London), The Guardian, New Scientist, Wired, CNN, and more. He is the co-host of The Studies Show podcast alongside Stuart Richie.His books include The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy, and How to Read Numbers. His newest book, available now, is called Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World.

| Tom Chivers |

► Website | https://tomchivers.com

► Twitter | https://x.com/TomChivers

► Semafor | https://www.semafor.com/author/tom-chivers

► Podcast | https://www.thestudiesshowpod.com

► Everything is Predictable Book | https://amzn.to/3UJTOxD

Where you can find us:

| Seize The Moment Podcast |

► Facebook | https://www.facebook.com/SeizeTheMoment

► Twitter | https://twitter.com/seize_podcast

► Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/seizethemoment

► TikTok | https://www.tiktok.com/@seizethemomentpodcast

  continue reading

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